pirates' top prospects fangraphs

Endy had an incredible 2022 statline .323/.407/.590 most of which was generated at hitter-friendly Greensboro. His breaking ball has inconsistent length and he has a relief-only mechanical look, but hes throwing quite hard. The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. This is one of those prospects fantasy players should value more highly than this because of his potential home run output, whereas defensive limitations cause us to value his real-world roster fit in this range. Triolo has long been viewed as a glove-first third baseman whod likely have some big league utility, similar to D-backs third baseman Emmanuel Rivera. Hernandez sat 93-96 mph in 2021 and when seen prior to Dodgers list publication last season, then kept throwing harder throughout the summer and ended up averaging 95-97 and touching 101 while with Double-A Tulsa. There isnt suddenly big power here or anything like that, but its the start of a physical step that was likely necessary for Cheng to take to play major league ball. When an opposing pitcher releases the ball, the scoop in Johnsons bat head is pointing at the mound with his back elbow hiked way up above his shoulder in a position that seems to defy the rules of normal human physiology. Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. The pitch has natural tailing action, but Ortiz can also blow it past hitters at the letters when he wants, and his TrackMan data shows hes mixing in four- and two-seamers in the locations where theyre most effective. But given his age and the amount of runway still afforded to him, this was seen as a speed bump for his development rather than being of great concern at the time. Might the changeup develop over time into a plus pitch? The powerfully built Kelly, 19, is a squat but loose righty who sits 93-95 mph and throws quality strikes with his fastball. Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. FanGraphs Prospects. Vilade spent some time near the top of the Rockies list due to his feel for contact. document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", function () { Now 24 and neither protected from nor claimed during the 2022 Rule 5 draft, its imperative for him to start throwing strikes more consistently in order to find his way to a big league bullpen. His defensive versatility will allow the Pirates to play in-game matchups that take advantage of Baes speed and ability to put balls in play. Those games were taking place amid weight-lifting and practice for the coming football season and then during the season itself, so Whites balance of strength and flexibility might change as he trains just for baseball. Pro teams are more open to east/west fastball operation and the Pirates might be able to coax more sweep out of Harringtons slider, though Campbell does a pretty good job developing pitchers, so there may be less developmental meat on the bone here than youd guess considering hes coming from a smaller program. Hes now 23 but could still be a fifth outfielder. If his defense continues to look like it did in the 2022-23 Dominican Winter League during 2023 spring training, he may quickly be repositioned on this list. Quick backfield looks at him have his tools in more of an extra outfielder bucket for now. In 2022, it garnered just 8% whiffs and 13% chase during his time at Double-A, where he spent most of the season. DeVito brandishes a five-pitch arsenal headlined by a filthy splitter, but he struggled to locate any of his pitches well enough for them to really complement each other. Chen began his career with 26 consecutive walk-free innings in the 2021 Florida Complex League, then spent all of 2022 at Bradenton, where he had a solid second pro season, carrying a 3.76 FIP across 98 innings. That pitch plays up against lefties for reasons that are probably obvious, but it isnt a nasty pitch in a vacuum. Their top ten, in. Jerez has above-average power and a 70 arm. Tony Sanchez / C 6. Hes on track to debut in 2025 as a starter if those issues improve and as a reliever if they do not. As FanGraphs sourced TrackMan/Hawkeye data from team personnel after the season, De Los Santos hard hit rate and peak exit velocities stood apart from most of his peers, especially when limiting the sample to the DSLs age-appropriate players. Hes different from Kieboom (lever length) and Kiura (simpler footwork) in meaningful ways, but that entire group (and Downs) has had issues with letter-high fastballs, which Gonzales often swings underneath. Pittsburgh to add him to their 40-man roster after the season, indicating that hell be a big league relief option in 2023. Not exactly on topic, but Id love to get some thoughts on the recently graduated Jack Suwinski. Hes going to be a star if he ends up with even average raw power, and even if he doesnt, were talking about a switch-hitting catcher who can make an impact on both offense and defense. Neither his slider nor changeup is fully baked quite yet, but if either (or both) become viable, they would bring with them a higher probability that Priester slots in as a mid-rotation starter. Hernandez, also 19, sat 93-96 in 2022 and has a good-looking two-planed slider, but a relief-only delivery and a mature build. D-backs Dodgers Giants Padres Rockies: Offseason Tools. Top Prospects Team Lists 2022 2021 AL NL Pirates Top Prospects Reading Options Detail Level Data Only Full Position Filter All 60 FV Prospects 1. His slot also helps generate two-plane sweep on his breaking ball. A 2022 eighth rounder, Nielsens velocity has been up and down depending on when hes been seen, peaking at 94 in 2022 but at 96 in years prior. While likely of low impact, Solometos feel to pitch will almost certainly enable him to be a big leaguer of some kind, either a backend starter or long reliever. as compiled by Ben Clemens and the FanGraphs staff. Even if sliders are a chronic issue for Davis, hell likely still get to enough power to produce better than the average everyday catcher. That creates backspin and carry on his fastball and big depth on his curve. His acrobatics and creativity at third base make him a plus defender there. Solometo certainly has superficial frame-based projection, but his athleticism and explosiveness are comfortably below whats typical of someone who finds more and more velocity deep into their 20s. More glove-side fastballs might help him set up his sweeping slider more effectively, as that pitch has good-looking movement but wasnt a dominant offering in college. in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft. Shim is a big, physically mature righty with huge present arm strength, creeping into the upper 90s. Flowers velocity has never really popped in a big way despite some of the late projection because of his conversion. His finishing pitch, though, is his slider, a nasty upper-80s sweeper that generated a 50% whiff rate and 38% chase rate in 2022. Silvera, 18, is a physically mature righty who missed a ton of DSL bats even though he only sits 88-90. He has a career .387 OBP but hasnt been able to actualize his plus raw power in games, driving the ball into the ground at a whopping 66% clip in 2021 and a 54% rate in 2022. Luigi Hernandez, RHP. Barco is a low-slot lefty with advanced command and several underlying pitch traits that give clubs hope of more upside even though he looks like a lower-variance backend starter prospect on the surface. Mason Martin, 1B RotoWire News: Gonzales will join the Pirates' major-league camp this spring. White was seen early and often as an underclassman since he went to a Philadelphia high school with University of Virginia outfielder Chris Newell, and would frequently match up against the Siani brothers during varsity play. Gonzales has begun to track like Keston Hiura, Carter Kieboom, and Jeter Downs, and his swing shares mechanical similarities with both Hiura and Kieboom. Even though hes so young, youre not really projecting on his frame in a positive way so much as it feels possible Kennedy could have impact command at maturity, because his delivery is so effortless and the quality of his fastball strikes so advanced. Brennan Malone, RHP. His Adonis-like physique helps him generate plus pull-side power, and he will show it to you without overswinging he simply lacks bat control and breaking ball recognition. Theres an All-Star-caliber hit and power combination here, and while a bigger pro data sample might reveal some approach-related issues, Johnson has been one of the best hitters his age for going on a half decade and feels like a relatively high-probability high school hitting prospect. Its a shorter, less natural looking delivery than what Flowers had as an amateur, but hes been able to throw strikes with it. }); Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category. 4/5 on a contender. He and Solometo have the same flavor of stuff wrapped in different packages. Nicolas has consistent glove-side command of his entire repertoire, and he tends to live on that half of the plate exclusively. Ercolani, an 18-year-old righty from San Marino, had a velo spike during the winter and has been up to 97 mph in the bullpen recently. Because theyre about the same age as high school draft prospects, apples-to-apples projection and tools comparisons are feasible, which then allows you to triangulate where theyd be selected in a draft based on those comparisons and get a sense of how to FV them. Burrows had success as a starter throughout a 2022 season split between Double- and Triple-A before shoulder inflammation effectively ended his season. Traded from Miami during the 2021-22 offseason as part of the three-player package for Jacob Stallings, Nicolas spent 2022 with Altoona, where he worked 90 innings with a FIP and ERA close to 4.00. Chandler started the 2022 season on the complex, where he showed two-way promise, slashing .231/.444/.654 over 36 plate appearances while annihilating opposing batters, issuing 27 strikeouts and giving up just three hits without allowing a run over 15.1 innings. He maintained his patient approach in Altoona, and when the Double-A season ended, he was sent up to Indianapolis for the last five games of the Triple-A season. He spent two years at a JUCO before heading to South Alabama in 2020, and he only pitched 21 total innings for the Jaguars due to the timing of his transfer. Hes poised for a big league bullpen role this season and has a repertoire thats deep and nasty enough that he should be considered a late-inning option. The site listed four Dodgers prospects on their list. From 2017-21, Webbs strikeout rate more than doubled as a result of his uptick in arm strength. A two-way high school prospect, Flowers was primarily a center fielder at Florida State but transitioned to the mound full-time in pro ball. Theyre finding them. He used his upper-90s fastball for in-zone whiffs, relying on his above-average slider as a chase pitch. Big league sliders might force Davis to make an adjustment, but so far his contact performance has been solidly average. The depth-focused style of their rebuild in which the Pirates often got many mid-tier prospects back in trade rather than just one key piece has had some profound positive impacts on this system (its arguably why they have Cruz, Endy Rodriguez, Contreras, and four of their 40+ FV prospects or better on this years list) even as many of the pro departments targets have started to fizzle out at the upper levels. Hes naturally adept at framing low strikes because hes already so low to the ground, but its also fair to wonder if such a small athlete can withstand the grind of catching 80-100 games every summer. During a full season at Double-A in 2022, he saw time at third base, shortstop, and center field, and in 2023 hell start seeing more time at second base. Even with that in mind, any team would be happy to sign a teenager with this kind of stuff for just $750,000 of their bonus pool. The Pittsburgh Pirates are hiring. Hes not a great defender right now, and probably wont ever be better than a 40-grade glove, but Davis frames high strikes well and has plus raw arm strength. Defensively, he has mostly played second base so far in his professional career, with just a handful of starts at short. A proactive bullpen move could put him in position to debut in 2024. Smith-Njigbas on-base skills drive an above-replacement forecast here, but its tough to project a real big league role, and he may be an interesting candidate for teams in Asia. LSU played . On defense, Rodriguezs size is both a feature and a bug. He has an interesting long-term body projection and breaking ball combination. Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Mitch Keller, Travis Swaggerty, Tahnaj Thomas and. They had a ton of depth and a need to fill their Triple-A roster with external veterans in case of injury, and its likely that they mis-evaluated some of their own players who they should have protected, players like Trey McGough, Cristian Charle, Joelvis Del Rosario, Austin Roberts, Wilkin Ramos, Jared Oliva, and Peter Solomon, all of whom have either been on past prospect lists or were flagged for interesting performance or characteristics during this list cycle. These rankings include six Pittsburgh Pirates prospects cracking the FanGraph top 100. Sergio Campana, CF Selbys fastball sits 96-98 mph and he looks to blow it past hitters up in the zone. His arm action looks longer and looser than it was in his injury-shortened 2021, and his upper body appears more closed, which might be helping him hide the ball longer than before. The top 38 spots on the list are all 55 FV or higher. Barcos long, low arm slot creates a flat approach angle, but hes not really inclined to climb the ladder and pitch at the top of the zone right now, instead living on the arm-side third of the plate with sink and tail. He clearly wasnt comfortable in center field during his brief time there last season, but he only played there once every couple of weeks and he isnt a firm no at the position, even if he is bad there right now. He has the strength to do damage the other way, but save for the occasional pitch on the outer edge, hes geared to pull. He has now struck out nearly 30% of the time during each of the last two seasons, but hes still performed comfortably above the league average at each stop because of the quality of the contact he does make. In August of 2022, Jun-Seok announced he would skip the September KBO draft in order to sign with an MLB club right away. Overall, there is a ton of in-zone swing-and-miss happening here. A double-plus hit tool leads the way for Termarr Johnson, a 5'7" 175 lb left-handed hitter who calls Jose Ramirez to mind on a quick visual evaluation. The top six were already know from this list, because Fangraphs had six Pirates in their top 100 prospects. Signed as an undrafted free agent in 2021, the 25-year-old right-hander has a degree in microbiology and premedical studies from Oxford, Ohio's Miami University, and he has worked as a . Like his other stuff, his feel for location is better than the movement hes creating on the pitch. This time around, the Top 100 has even more Moreno types, prospects who combine . RT @NorthShoreNine: wNS9+ With @longenhagen Discussing the @fangraphs Pirates Top Prospect List You found it controversial, so we discussed it Subscribe & Listen . If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. Middle infielder Termarr Johnson, who the Pittsburgh. Prospects 2022 Top 100 Prospects. He could get a cup of coffee in 2023. The Royals designated Webb for assignment in mid-November and he elected free agency before signing with the Pirates. Injured Arms Jesus Castillo, SS It sounds like Brannigan is going to develop as a two-way player. Reports, tool grades, . Diego Cartaya (37) - Catcher Cartaya is listed a little higher in The. Back with former Astros pitching coach Brent Strom in Arizona . Isaias Uribe, LHP Swaggerty matched the nine home runs he posted in 2019, but this time, he did so against better pitching, in fewer at-bats, and in a much less hitter-friendly park, and he improved on his walk rate by a couple of ticks. Top Prospects. If this were a high school draft prospect, you would already know his name based purely on how explosive De Los Santos is in the batters box. To be fair, he was only about average in terms of OAA. His maxed-out frame is cumbersome on the infield, but his footwork at first base has improved a ton since he started playing there, and weve updated our previous DH-only projection. Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. While he has a low three-quarters slot that creates natural tail on his heater, Kennedy can still create riding life at the letters. None of his other pitches are above average in fact most of them are currently below average but Chen has plus command projection and a plus changeup, so hes pretty likely to pitch at the back of a big league rotation or as an innings-eating spot starter. His multi-tasking fastball plays at the letters due to angle and also gets a groundball when located down, but at just 91-94 mph, its still a below-average pitch. Even though he was sitting 96-98 in Arizona, Webbs fastball doesnt play like an upper-90s pitch right now, and his mid-80s breaking ball quality is highly variable (lots of 30s, some 50s). Alessandro Ercolani, RHP Sanchez runs pretty well. 76. He was passed over in the 2022 Rule 5 Draft despite his stuff quality because hes so raw as a strike-thrower. It had exploded even further when he was seen following the pandemic shutdown, as he sat 95-97 mph and was touching 101 during the 2021 regular season. You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. Davis skills and offensive style are tailored like those of Evan Gattis. 2023 Opening Day Tracker. His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. His delivery is violent and scary, especially given the injury track record, though not all of his injuries in the past have been to his arm. March 3, 2023. by Retrosheet. The Pirates have three of those 38 players, with Termarr Johnson ranked 21st, Endy Rodriguez 22nd and Henry Davis 38th. Blanco is a gigantic corner outfield/1B prospect who had the most present raw power in the January 2022 international signing class. Massey, going on 23, is a very loose, projectable college prospect from Minnesota. De Los Santos contact metrics are a hair south of average, and thats the biggest indicator that theres real risk here, but boy, there is also real ceiling. He has basically been the same guy since he entered pro ball, sitting 94-95 with ineffectual shape and a pretty good slider. Escotto, 20, was a 40+ FV prospect after his huge DSL season and later became part of the Jameson Taillon trade, but he struggled very badly in 2022 and needed to be demoted back to Low-A. Barring a velo bump or another significant alteration to some of the more concerning elements of his profile, he looks like a single-inning up/down reliever. Mechanically, Burrows adds additional length to his 6-foot-2 stature with an over-the-top delivery. Opinions around Shim vary because he offers less physical projection than is typical in the international talent space, even for an older pitcher. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListControls(); If you want to read me wax poetic about that you can check out my end of year review. Climbing the minor league ladder often comes with offensive slumps, many of which are cured as hitters accrue at-bats at the more advanced level. An extreme groundball pitcher in a small sample, he allowed just two home runs in 35.2 innings of work in 2022. Indeed, of his offerings, only his four-seamer had a whiff rate above the big league average, and he struggled to keep that pitch competitive, only throwing it for a strike 57% of the time. This impressive performance inspired his offseason 40-man addition. But Jones athleticism and physical strength drove confidence that he could maintain plus fastball velocity across a starters workload in pro ball (which so far has been true), and his natural breaking ball bite gave him at least one likely plus pitch to go with it. Overall, the Pirates adding six prospects to their top 50 list is pretty impressive. Matt Gorski, OF Both feel like high-floored backend or long relief types who need to walk an atypical path to an impact role. If you split his season exactly in half, the improvement is obvious. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 24, 2021 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Chandlers pitching performance wasnt as lights-out as it had been pre-promotion, but it was still a display of the rightys potential. (2/2/2021) Garcia is only 19 but is already sitting 96. The organization will be thrilled if . While his walk and strikeout rates were both descent through the first half of 2022, only nine of his 57 hits through mid-June went for extra bases (eight doubles and a home run). Born Harrison Michael Ford, in Atlanta, 20 years ago this week, the right-handed-hitting catcher is the son of English immigrants. Cubs pitching prospect Hayden Wesneski is proving he belongs in his latest Spring Training outing. Hes a fun one cause he had 20 grade defense apparently but scored positive defensively and 30 grade speed but ran nearly 29 feet/second. Gorski had a nutty statline at Greensboro and indeed has plus raw power, but its tough to project a real role for a 25-year-old who struck out as much as he did at High- and Double-A. The older brother of Ohio State wide receiver phenom Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Canaan is another of the many prospects acquired from the Yankees for Jameson Taillon. The clubs hit rate on these trades per prospect isnt great, but the hit rate per trade has been better than that because of their risk-mitigating approach. FanGraphs Top 43 Pirates prospects blogs.fangraphs Vote 3 comments Best Add a Comment Robert_roberts82 14 min. Defensively, Nunez has transitioned from full-time third baseman to mostly first base, with a handful of innings in the other corner of the infield still mixed in. He has a pronounced bat wrap. Not counting his time at the alt site in 2020, last season was Boltons first time back in competitive action since 2019. He has above-average bat-to-ball skills and very little power. He hit his stride in mid-August with back-to-back scoreless starts in which his four-seamer averaged over 96 across a combined nine innings a high water mark for the season and a true glimpse of his upside. RotoGraphs. While it may seem like a lot of time has passed since he put his name on the prospect map with his otherworldly 2018 DSL performance, Nunez is still very young; hell turn 22 during spring training, where hes a non-roster invitee. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Jameson Taillon / SP 4. Theres still some prospect clout here because of Nolascos power and long-haul physicality, but at this stage, he should be considered more of power-driven flier than a likely big leaguer. His swing is already geared for lift, but he doesnt currently have the raw juice to make the most of it. Pirates Reds: NL West. All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. His overall pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls, has become a more noticeable issue. Jones spent 2022, his second full pro season, at High-A Greensboro, where he sat 94-98 mph across 122.2 innings and posted a 26.7% K% and 9.6% BB%. His delivery has a relief-only look to it. Triolo earned industry praise for his defensive aptitude and high marks for his baseball IQ and instincts. 2023 600 PA / 200 IP Projections Steamer600. As the Pirates improve and fall into the middle of the draft order, opportunities to do this might dwindle since they cant create a big pool space surplus as easily, but their steady stream of competitive balance picks should give them at least some opportunity to explore creativity in the draft room just about every year. Eddy Yean, RHP He finished 2022 at Altoona and has a chance to be in the big leagues at some point this season. Nunez started 2022 at St. Louis Double-A affiliate before being dealt to Pittsburgh as part of the Jos Quintana deal at the trade deadline. He seems able to make some mid at-bat adjustments to this type of pitch but then ends up playing a guessing game with breaking balls. The effects of a pro strength and conditioning program might kick-start him down the path toward finding a more consistent release and sustaining the big velocity as a pro starter. Spotty command and limited fastball utility push Mlodzinski into a multi-inning relief role. He was ranked 25th on the Pirates list at the end of 2022, but we were blown away after watching him on video and seeing some of his underlying DSL data during the construction of this list. The depth-drive approach has extended to the amateur side of things, where the Pirates tend to spread out their bonus pool to at least a couple of over-slot prospects every year. . His swing may look different in 2023 and prompt a re-evaluation. After spending most of the year at Triple-A, where he hit .289/.362/.430, Bae spent the last couple weeks of the 2022 season as an everyday member of the big league club, where he seems likely to stick throughout the coming season as a lefty-hitting 2B/OF.

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