is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020

Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. That solved the problem. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? Iapologize.). Thats a point that they made. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Sorry Marc. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. VOA explains. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Same for GA senate races Charlie. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Explained! Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Is Missouri a red state? Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Vice versa for Montana. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Error! The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Press Enter to view state-level map. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Youve Answered Lifes Questions. You have to beware with these reports, though. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). The key swing region is the. But registration figures vary greatly by county. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. How red or blue is your state? 4, another 2020 red state. Good evening from Philadelphia! Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. So how does all that look visually? An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. These are general election results for the years listed. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Election results provided by the Associated Press. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Out of. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. I don't know where to begin! [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Republican All three of those states were very close in both elections. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. Red states vs. blue states. Anita What do you want to know? [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research.

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