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Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick would be a good recruit for Republicans. Gubernatorial Approval Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan continues to have the approval of a majority of New Hampshire adults. Democrats would need a particularly outstanding candidate to come out of the woodwork to flip Iowa. The battle for the Senate in 2022 starts without one party holding a clear advantage, but both parties have reasons to hope that they might come to be heavier favorites. 10/7/14 -- Havenstein is catching up, but Hassan is at 50 percent. Georgia – Biden+>1 – David Perdue(R)+2/Raphael Warnock(D)+7. Log In; Become a Member 0. Even if Hogan were to fall short, he’d force Democrats to push hard to hold a seat in a state that’s basically a Republican desert, which would be a victory. He’s floated the idea of running for federal office before, and he won re-election in 2018 by a dozen points, impressive for a Republican in a blue, suburban state. The consensus on both sides is that the era where Democrats can compete in Missouri has likely passed. In Nevada, a lot depends on what the national environment looks like for Democrats, and on who Republicans nominate against her. The backlash to her decision has been swift and severe. > Only House member: Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte, state at-large If House Democrats pass legislation that Americans approve of, only to have that legislation blocked or filibustered by the GOP, negative sentiments could turn towards Senate Republicans. She attended Nashua High School and received a B.A. The 11-point surge in disapproval threatens Ayotte's 2016 reelection, when she could face popular Democratic Gov. The one that Democrats want: Maggie Hassan National Democrats have been working hard to recruit Gov. The good news for Republicans is that, unless the sitting President is particularly popular, the incumbent party, which is in this case the Democrats, typically loses congressional seats. The state has surprised before: People didn't think that Republicans would lose the governor's mansion in 2004, either. Sad. Alaska’s a strange state, and Murkowski a strange politician, so I’ll put this race in Likely Republican despite the state’s solid red hue. > Support in 2018 midterm election: 50.9% of the vote > Q4 2019 approval rating: 51.0% 11/3/14 --The latest UNH poll shows a one-point Hassan lead. Net Approval Ratings. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 55% of Granite Staters say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 25% disapprove, and 20% are neutral or … Mike Lee is one of the Senate’s most conservative members and a Trump ally, so it wouldn’t be too surprising if he faces some adversity in his re-election campaign. Joe Biden will hopefully preside over a gradual return to normalcy in America, as COVID-19 vaccines become widely available in 2021. Log In; Become a Member I will also post about congressional re-districting, which will happen in most states next year, and more posts reflecting on what we learned from the 2020 election. The only Democrat that flipped a Republican statewide office since then is Auditor Rob Sand. 0. That would be Governor Larry Hogan. On the surface, one might expect Democrats to make big gains in the Senate in 2022 because Republicans are defending more seats. > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% Utah and its heavily Mormon population usually votes red, but the state has demonstrated recently that it’s not afraid to go Democrat or third-party if the Republican is too right-wing and the Democrat/third party guy is moderate, civil, and Mormon. You have permission to edit this article. Hogan, a moderate Trump-critic is one of the nation’s most popular governors. Except for special elections and candidacy declarations, there won’t be much going on that will impact elections. You have permission to edit this article. > Total congressional districts in the state: 3, 28. 0. Biden won, but not by very much. Log In; Become a Member You have permission to edit this article. Edit Close. According to a Public Policy Polling poll released Wednesday, the freshman senator’s approval rating has plunged to 44 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%. Edit Close. > Total congressional districts in the state: 1, 27. Edit Close The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%. Enjoy more articles by logging in or creating a free account. The approval ratings for governors of the top 10 states averaged 62.1 percent, while the gubernatorial approval ratings for those in the bottom 10 averaged 50.8 percent. The state has surprised before: People didn't think that Republicans would lose the governor's mansion in 2004, either. That means beating Maggie Hassan, the Democratic governor, in a race that surveys call a statistical tie. An even worse scenario for Republicans would be if sex-scandal plagued former Governor Eric Greitens ends up the Republican candidate if Blunt retires or is defeated for re-nomination. - Approval rating: 35% - Never heard of: 30% - Disapproval rating: 35% - State: Colorado - Party: Republican. Enjoy unlimited articles at one of our lowest prices ever. Maggie Hassan's approval ratings are up.The WMUR Granite State Poll shows that Hassan's job approval rating is at 58 … Complicating things further is the passing of a ballot measure in the state that abolishes primaries. I predict Republicans are at least favored in 49 seats, while Democrats are favored in 47. > Support in 2018 midterm election: 51.0% of the vote This will be an open seat with no incumbent running, and, hopefully, the Democratic candidate won’t be involved in an adultery scandal. The problem is that most of the Republican-held seats are in states that lean red or are becoming redder. Colorado and Florida are former swing states. Log In; Become a Member Trump won Ohio in 2016 and 2020 by 8 points. 0. Hassan’s approval rating has fallen from 50 percent in October to 43 percent in November, a drop found mainly among Democratic-leaning voters. Hassan continues to enjoy high favorability ratings. Incumbent Republican Roy Blunt was caught sleeping in 2016. Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan are at 57% and 53% respectively. Currently, 58% of New Hampshire adults say they have a favorable opinion of Hassan, 14% have an unfavorable opinion, 8% are neutral, and 20% say they don’t know enough about her to say. She lost by 7 points. She has now tumbled underwater, with 46 percent disapproving and 44 percent approving. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire Senate - Ayotte vs. Hassan Now, both Ryan and Walker are out of office, and Ron Johnson himself made a pledge that this would be his last term, but has since given indication that he may go back on that pledge. Raleigh, N.C. – Maggie Hassan’s high job approval rating and significant double-digit leads over five possible Republican challengers indicate that the incumbent Democratic governor will start out ahead for re-election in 2014 if she decides to run, according to PPP’s first New Hampshire poll since the 2012 election. Sad. The nominations are wide open for both parties, but Democrats appear to have the stronger bench of candidates, such as congresspeople Conor Lamb or Chrissy Houlahan, Governor Tom Wolf, Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, or Attorney General Josh Shapiro. That sounds like a narrow margin, but Floridians are a stubborn people, not many can be convinced to vote a different party. If he did, it still wouldn’t hurt Republican chances too severely. Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan won by 0.1% in 2016, but she’s starting in a stronger position this cycle and has a solid approval rating. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20th, 2021. Blunt hasn’t improved his approval ratings much since that election. It would be an epic battle not just between two of the state’s political heavyweights, but also a battle that will decide what New Hampshire really is. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. Sen. Maggie Hassan's rating is 51 percent approval and 39 percent disapproval. I’m doubtful Democrats can reach 2016 levels of Latino support against Marco Rubio, and older voters will swing back towards Republicans in the mid-term elections after shifting a bit towards Biden. Catherine Cortez Masto, the incumbent Democrat, might fit the description of “generic Democrat” the best. He probably would’ve lost to spirited challenger Jason Kander had it not been for the Trump upset up ballot. Nonetheless, expect a drop in the frequency of posts for the next half year starting next year. > Q4 2019 approval rating: 35.0% Considering that Hassan is the incumbent, has a superior approval rating, and holds a strong lead in the polls, it is safe to say that she has this election locked down so long as she sticks to a sensible platform that appeals to the … A “grand slam” recruit for Republicans would be former governor Brian Sandoval, an extremely popular, moderate, Hispanic, easygoing guy who won re-election in 2014 by 46 points. Their state, Ayotte graduated from Villanova University School of Law, where she holds st... Editor of the woodwork to flip Iowa, Hassan ’ s not a poor campaigner, isn! 4.7 % next year born in Boston in 1958, she has long been in. Biden will hopefully preside over a gradual return to normalcy in America, as COVID-19 vaccines widely... The Senate in 2022 with 46 percent disapproving and 44 percent approving, we saw resurgence! 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